Data & Empirical Studies

Monetary Transmission and Inflation Persistence in India

· Journal: Indian Economy Review · DOI 10.1234/ier.2026.12.2.1

Abstract

This paper estimates the speed of monetary transmission to CPI inflation in India using a structural VAR on 2004–2025 data.

We document incomplete but faster transmission after the flexible inflation targeting framework. Food shocks still dominate short-run CPI variance.

Methodology

Structural VAR with sign restrictions; monthly data.

Conclusion

Policy should look through volatile food shocks while anchoring medium-term expectations.

How to cite

Rohan Mehta, Meera Nair (2026). Monetary Transmission and Inflation Persistence in India. Indian Economy Review. https://indianeconomy.com/research/monetary-transmission-inflation-persistence-india https://doi.org/10.1234/ier.2026.12.2.1

Author profile: Rohan Mehta